At least for developers, AI can absolutely do the same quality work as most fresh graduates - and the business case for hiring fresh graduates was already prett

At least for developers, AI can absolutely do the same quality work as most fresh graduates - and the business case for hiring fresh graduates was already pretty shaky; IME they take 6+ months to become a net positive (usually more like two years). I have always kept that latter point to myself at work - the next generation have to learn somewhere, and training them can be a pleasure (depending on the person) - but even quite good folk with 4-5 years of experience need (what feels like) a lot of assistance to understand/follow the architecture laid out for them. I don’t use AI to help me code because IME it’s no better than an enthusiastic junior dev who doesn’t learn, and helping them learn is the main reason I might want to work with such a dev.