4 ms·
I'll add to this. Edit: consumer-level or corporate level credit won't be any cheaper - only a very specific type of credit, ie mortgages, would become cheaper
by photon137 14y ago
I'll add to this.
Edit: consumer-level or corporate level credit won't be any cheaper - only a very specific type of credit, ie mortgages, would become cheaper still.
As you've rightly pointed out, the Fed is targeting mortgage rates, and thus, home affordability. This is to support house prices and encourage construction-based spending in the economy.
House-buying and construction have the biggest multipliers in terms of their knock-on effect on the economy. That's why the recession was so deep - and that's why a recovery can only truly be kick-started by making mortgages affordable.
However, some big downside risks here:
(a) The European crisis, obviously - although the politicians now seem to have come to their senses a little bit.
(b) The credit burden on the US consumer - consumers are still quite leveraged and spending is still financed heavily by credit than by pure income. That will always cause blips to the economy (like oil-price induced inflation) to be magnified and will defeat what the Fed is trying to achieve.
(c) Short-term commodity inflation risks - but given that WTI light crude is almost $20 below Brent crude, there already is a North American supply glut.
- smokeyj 14y agoDoes this mean the Fed owns a bunch of houses around the country? How exactly do they target mortgage rates?
- photon137 14y agoThey buy mortgage-backed securities in the secondary markets which, in simple terms, are bonds issued by securitization agencies (well, mostly by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the residential mortgage area) to fund pools that buy and collect individual residential mortgages. The higher prices for MBSes leads to cheaper funding for such pools. If funding of mortgages is cheaper for banks and agencies, then they become cheaper for the borrowers as well. Even if you aren't buying a new home, you can refinance your existing mortgage at a lower rate.
- GrothingFash 14y agoSo the FED is basically printing money and giving it to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to lend out as cheap mortgages? Isn't this what caused the 2008 crisis in the first place?