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If you are asking about LLMs, yes we will. We have hit it already. All those LLMs benchmarks are terrible. LLMs gets better at it, but users don't perceive it.
by thiago_fm 1y ago
If you are asking about LLMs, yes we will. We have hit it already.
All those LLMs benchmarks are terrible. LLMs gets better at it, but users don't perceive it. LLMs haven't improved that much the last year.
For AI in general, the future is bright. Now we have a lot of brain power and hardware available, more new research will pop up.
A LONG TIME AGO, Claude (your favorite LLM model?) Shannon has shown that entropy is a fundamental limit. There may be limitations we aren't aware of 'intelligence'.
Despite what experts say, Superintelligence or AGI might not even exist.
Is AGI knowing all the possible patterns in the universe? Nobody can even properly define it. But it is wrong, as not every intelligent thing isn't a pattern.
But are cars going to drive themselves by using similar inputs than a human? Yes, probably soon
Also many improvements to machinery, factories and productivity. They will shape the economy to a new format. No superintelligence or AGI needed. Just 'human'-level pattern recognition.