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This presumes quite a bit. As it stands, AGI has not been achieved, and this article is claiming that, by 2028, 90% of all knowledge-worker jobs will be done by
by BirAdam 1y ago
This presumes quite a bit. As it stands, AGI has not been achieved, and this article is claiming that, by 2028, 90% of all knowledge-worker jobs will be done by an AI system.
Even were that to happen, it is unlikely that a UBI would be put in place, or if it were, that it would be successful. An Ouroboros of taxing owners to pay the public who buy from the owners wouldn't be successful. The reality is that were all workers to be replaced by AI, the economy would collapse. Then, the owners of the systems would be forced to liquidate their assets, the prices on GPUs would crater, and the AI means of production would be redistributed among the hands of the public. Then, small models would be driving productivity in the new wave of startups following the crash. This pattern could repeat many times.
- mandarwagh 1y agoTrue, AGI is not here yet, but displacement does not require AGI, only AI that is "good enough" for repetitive cognitive tasks. We are already seeing this in coding, design, legal review, and customer support. As for UBI, history shows that when disruptive tech collapses existing structures, new redistribution mechanisms eventually emerge, whether through taxation, social programs, or crashes that reset ownership. The cycle you describe is possible, but it reinforces the core point: once AI becomes cheaper than human labor, waves of disruption are inevitable, whether cushioned by UBI or followed by crashes and redistribution.