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Old article by Joel Spolsky https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-scheduling/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-sch...
by gus_massa 1y ago
Old article by Joel Spolsky https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-scheduling/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-sch...
Short version: Track the predictions and the actual time to solve the task, and then use that data to adjust the new predictions to a realistic ones.
- sunscream89 1y agoHoly f* I said a simpler version of this and got karma negged. I didn’t say “developers routinely mis-estimate their projections by ~25% because they do not anticipate admin overhead sich as emails, phone calls, or other non technical back and fourth.” So if projections are regularly skewed hedge the projections and refine the process.
- gus_massa 1y agoI don't understand why you were downvoted. Anyway, the advantages of the Joel's method are: 1) he writes better than you and me 2) it's automatic, so there are not hard feelings or overoptimistic managers