> then high unemployment is a good starting point This strikes me as overly simplistic and optimistic. The real world is not a zero-sum-game where if someone

> then high unemployment is a good starting point This strikes me as overly simplistic and optimistic. The real world is not a zero-sum-game where if someone loses someone else wins. Macroeconomics in today's world is an interconnected hot mess where I wouldn't dare to infer much except for that simple cause and effect chains surely do not work. What you deduce might be true in an otherwise stable and sunny economic climate, but we're far from that. - Trumps active hand in messing with the US economy (Going on an immigrant (labor) hunt, firing a FED governor and threatening Powell, buying into Intel, imposing tariffs coughed up by an LLM) - Unprecedented amounts of money are being singularly invested into "AI" and not much else - Consumer prices for Americans as a compound combination of tariffs and an expected weaker dollar if interest rates go down aren't playing well with peak unemployment Taking that all in, comparatively to only a couple of months ago, this setup is by far not the most desirable investment climate in the US for foreign investment. And while bringing back offshored industries sure sounds nice on paper, I'm wondering how that's gonna play out with a) historically high CoL in the US leading to b) higher wages required for the supposed high quality jobs coming back leading to c) high prices to purchase said goods.