At the end of the day economy is king. Nothing else matters. But economy is not something you can plan and predict (shout out to my communist friends), it is a

At the end of the day economy is king. Nothing else matters. But economy is not something you can plan and predict (shout out to my communist friends), it is a chaotic system full of emergent elements, chance-based actors and third-order effects and so it usually takes years for trends and patterns to emerge. All I'm going to say is that unless AI keeps improving exponentially (and there's definitely an argument to be made that it's not already) there is going to be a hell to pay a few years down the road. I use Grok, Claude and Gemini every day, these "tools" are very useful to me (in the sense of how google and wikipedia changed the game) and I watch the LLM space closely, but what I'm seeing in terms of relative improvement is far removed from all the promises of the CEOs of these companies... Like, Grok 4 was supposed to be "close to AGI" but compared to Grok 3 it's just a small incremental improvement and the same goes for others...