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I haven't done the math but I would expect that more than all of China's decline is due to two effects: population aging -- older people use less fossil fuel.
by tuatoru 1y ago
I haven't done the math but I would expect that more than all of China's decline is due to two effects:
population aging -- older people use less fossil fuel.
reduced household formation, in part driven by increased youth unemployment. It's impossible to get figures for this.
- w4yai 1y agoWhich stage of denial is this ?
- tuatoru 1y agoKnowledge of demography.
- lucb1e 1y agolooking up your claim, https://www.mpg.de/4635546/co2-age-structure https://www.mpg.de/4635546/co2-age-structure doesn't quite seem that much of a decline as compared to the giant increase from adulthood until ~60yo (presumably, as you accumulate wealth and require more care). You have to be over 70yo before it goes from ~15 to ~13 tons per capita per year. That's a small minority of people (like 9% if I'm eyeballing it right) who are 70+ in China in 2024 according to https://www.populationpyramid.net/china/2024/ https://www.populationpyramid.net/china/2024/ so the remaining 91% will be either stable or increasing emissions edit: corrected the figure from 3% to 9% after noticing that I looked only at the left number and not the right one on that second graph. Forgot about all the women in the country, whoops
- tokioyoyo 1y ago1/3 of Chinese population still lives in the rural areas. They’re still in the process of urbanization and building up new cities. That process results in emissions.
- davis 1y agoThe decline in emissions is due to the massive build out of renewables of solar and wind. The amount they are building is insane. Your theory is ignorant and you are spreading misinformation and nonsense.
- henry2023 1y agoI agree with you. You clearly haven’t done the math.