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A civil war wouldn't even necessarily be a reason for the U.S. to go into decline, it certainly wasn't the case in the 19th century. U.S. handily beat Mexico th
by chrisco255 1y ago
A civil war wouldn't even necessarily be a reason for the U.S. to go into decline, it certainly wasn't the case in the 19th century. U.S. handily beat Mexico then went to war with itself then had some of the strongest economic growth in world history, as it rolled out telegraph, telephones, electricity and light bulbs, tons of rail line, invented powered flight and mass produced automobiles.
At any rate Mexico/U.S. situation is completely different than Japan/China.
Mexico is growing rapidly and America wants Mexico to succeed. It eases the burden on U.S. from excessive immigration if Mexico is able to develop its economy to a comparable level.
Mexico still has tons of problems though not least of which is the insane violence and heinous crimes committed by their cartels. It's far more likely Mexico cracks up from the cartel activity than the U.S. at this juncture.
- bryanlarsen 1y agoAnd if America has another civil war, it'll be very different from its first one. Syria is a much better example of what happens during a typical modern civil war. > America wants Mexico to succeed. The America that signed NAFTA rationally wanted that. The America that ripped up NAFTA? Not so much. That America is stuck in destructive zero-sum thinking. You're right that it's unfathomable to think that Mexico could conquer America 50 to 100 years from now. It's highly unlikely to happen. But my point is that it was even more unfathomable that a few dozen horse archers could snowball effect their way into conquering China, or that the desperately poor and backwards Japan could reform themselves into a position to conquer China. History is full of stories that you would dismiss as unbelievable if they were written down as fiction.