4 ms·

The first figure alone is insane, for me it helps explain why some friends feel like the market has fallen out from under them (early career) while others aren'

by rsanek 1y ago

The first figure alone is insane, for me it helps explain why some friends feel like the market has fallen out from under them (early career) while others aren't having such a tough time. It seems like so far, for folks 30+ AI hasn't really changed things radically (yet). The series in figure 6, though, I think suggests that we may just be seeing a time-delayed effect and eventually everyone's going to be impacted.

lelanthran 1y ago
> The first figure alone is insane, for me it helps explain why some friends feel like the market has fallen out from under them (early career) while others aren't having such a tough time. It seems like so far, for folks 30+ AI hasn't really changed things radically (yet). Not just early career, also independent devs who are any from early-career to late-career. I did a thing for a client a few weeks ago (embedded, with prototype board + code for industrial sensor containing multiple sensor types, using wifi to both configure and monitor the device, and to retrieve sensor values). They balked at a two-week bill; their argument was that this should have not been more than a 2-day bill (literally, 2 days for everything from soldering up the prototype board to writing the code). Their frame-of-reference was that their in-house dev (or similar, not sure now) could do that in two days with an arduino or ESP32 devkit. My suspicion is that because their in-house dev took only two days to get claude code to write a ping program for a esp32 dev board (no soldering, sensors, etc. Purely WiFi comms and nothing else), their expectations were that this should have been the same. (I eventually accepted the payment for only 2 days worth of dev, of which at least half was expenses for me - driving, meetings with them, purchases, etc.)

4 ms·

The first figure alone is insane, for me it helps explain why some friends feel like the market has fallen out from under them (early career) while others aren'

by rsanek 1y ago

lelanthran 1y ago
> The first figure alone is insane, for me it helps explain why some friends feel like the market has fallen out from under them (early career) while others aren't having such a tough time. It seems like so far, for folks 30+ AI hasn't really changed things radically (yet). Not just early career, also independent devs who are any from early-career to late-career. I did a thing for a client a few weeks ago (embedded, with prototype board + code for industrial sensor containing multiple sensor types, using wifi to both configure and monitor the device, and to retrieve sensor values). They balked at a two-week bill; their argument was that this should have not been more than a 2-day bill (literally, 2 days for everything from soldering up the prototype board to writing the code). Their frame-of-reference was that their in-house dev (or similar, not sure now) could do that in two days with an arduino or ESP32 devkit. My suspicion is that because their in-house dev took only two days to get claude code to write a ping program for a esp32 dev board (no soldering, sensors, etc. Purely WiFi comms and nothing else), their expectations were that this should have been the same. (I eventually accepted the payment for only 2 days worth of dev, of which at least half was expenses for me - driving, meetings with them, purchases, etc.)