See also the original paper: "Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes" http://arxiv.org/abs/0810.55

See also the original paper: "Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes" http://arxiv.org/abs/0810.5515 http://arxiv.org/abs/0810.5515