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5% saying it's helping their company is roughly in line with the lizard man constant. [1] There will always be people who will never admit a thing didn't work o

5% saying it's helping their company is roughly in line with the lizard man constant. [1] There will always be people who will never admit a thing didn't work out as planned and those who just like to answer sarcastically. It's not unreasonable to assume that, if this report is even remotely accurate, it's pretty much 100% of people finding AI fairly disappointing. [1] https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/Lizardman%27s_Constant https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/Lizardman%27s_Constant

rsynnott 1y ago
I mean, I assume the blogspam industry is thrilled with it… For the time being, and the foreseeable future, LLM’s sweet spot seems to be low-grade translation, and ultra-low-grade bottom barrel ‘content generation’. Which is… not nothing, but also not what you’d call world-changing. As a number of people said, there probably is an industry here; it’s just that it’s worth on the order of tens of billions, not trillions as the markets currently appear to believe. (Some people will claim it’s a great programming tool. Personally sceptical, but even if it’s the greatest, most amazingest programming tool ever, well, “we might be even more important than Borland and Jetbrains were” is not going to thrill the markets too much. Current valuations are built on mass-market applicability, and if that doesn’t show up soon there will be trouble.)
- Ekaros 1y ago
  Also image generation. If you just need to fill space on web pages. Generating a few images for free/very cheap is cheaper than paying for stock images. And at that price do you really care if you do not have copy right? Especially if everything else is LLM generated slop as well.
  - rsynnott 1y ago
    Okay, so, “we’re as important as Borland, Jetbrains, AND Getty Images! That’ll be a trillion dollars investment money, pls”. Like, that’s still just silly. On the developer tools thing in particular, I’d note that it is historically extremely difficult to make a sustainable business, nevermind a wildly profitable business, in that space. Borland and Jetbrains probably are the closest that anyone has come.

rsynnott 1y ago

I mean, I assume the blogspam industry is thrilled with it… For the time being, and the foreseeable future, LLM’s sweet spot seems to be low-grade translation, and ultra-low-grade bottom barrel ‘content generation’. Which is… not nothing, but also not what you’d call world-changing. As a number of people said, there probably is an industry here; it’s just that it’s worth on the order of tens of billions, not trillions as the markets currently appear to believe. (Some people will claim it’s a great programming tool. Personally sceptical, but even if it’s the greatest, most amazingest programming tool ever, well, “we might be even more important than Borland and Jetbrains were” is not going to thrill the markets too much. Current valuations are built on mass-market applicability, and if that doesn’t show up soon there will be trouble.)

Ekaros 1y ago
Also image generation. If you just need to fill space on web pages. Generating a few images for free/very cheap is cheaper than paying for stock images. And at that price do you really care if you do not have copy right? Especially if everything else is LLM generated slop as well.
- rsynnott 1y ago
  Okay, so, “we’re as important as Borland, Jetbrains, AND Getty Images! That’ll be a trillion dollars investment money, pls”. Like, that’s still just silly. On the developer tools thing in particular, I’d note that it is historically extremely difficult to make a sustainable business, nevermind a wildly profitable business, in that space. Borland and Jetbrains probably are the closest that anyone has come.