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It's a new hammer but one that is improving at an exponential pace and is developing capabilities to use itself with increasing reliability It's easy to look
by atleastoptimal 1y ago
It's a new hammer
but one that is improving at an exponential pace
and is developing capabilities to use itself with increasing reliability
It's easy to look at AI and draw a simple analogy to existing tools, because in most cases it is used as a tool, but the properties of intelligence and its ability to make things in the world is very unique and not comparable to any other tool.
All tools are useful because they require intelligence to use, and the tool magnifies the aim of intelligence. When the tools become intelligent themselves, certain recursive feedback loops will start to appear. Simply look at the quality of AI code outputs from 2 years ago compared to today.
- tudorizer 1y agoAs long as you're not going too far down the "the hammer will start using itself" path. Recursive feedback loops and fast pace of improvements are priced in.
- atleastoptimal 1y agoThey're not priced in inasmuch as many people consider it fundamentally impossible for AGI to be reached
- malfist 1y ago> one that is improving at an exponential rate I don't know what AI you've been looking at but GPT-5 is not twice as good as GPT-4 which wasn't twice as good as GPT-3
- atleastoptimal 1y agoI'm referring to the long-horizon task benchmark which has been exponential since GPT-2 https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...