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> How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already? This seems wildly inaccurate. Can you find any single such claim from any cr
by sebastiennight 1y ago
> How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already?
This seems wildly inaccurate.
Can you find any single such claim from any credible source? Anybody hyping up an AGI timeframe within the 2010s?
- jandrese 1y agoOk, this one is for the end of 2025 so we could still achieve it, and this is from a guy with an AI company (xAI): https://www.reuters.com/technology/teslas-musk-predicts-ai-will-be-smarter-than-smartest-human-next-year-2024-04-08/ https://www.reuters.com/technology/teslas-musk-predicts-ai-w... Another AI company CEO prediction: https://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/ https://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/
- sebastiennight 1y agoI think you're proving my point here. Nobody credible was promising AGI would be arriving in the 2010s. 2025 is halfway through the 2020's.