4 ms·
Uncertainty in the number of successes due to the number of trials, would be even better.
by tomsmeding 1y ago
Uncertainty in the number of successes due to the number of trials, would be even better.
- jdhwosnhw 1y agoThat would also be an incorrect phrasing. This entire thread is a good illustration of the difficulty of speaking precisely about probabilistic concepts. (The number of successes has zero uncertainty. If you flip a coin 10 times and get 5 heads, there is no uncertainty on the number of heads. In general, for any statistical model the uncertainty is only with respect to an underlying model parameter - in this example, while your number of successes is perfectly known, it can be used to infer a probability of success, p, of 0.5, and there is uncertainty associated with that inferred probability.)