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So I think the author is right regarding current sales pitches, but also wrong about the long term impact. There is nothing on the market today that would be a
by bloaf 1y ago
So I think the author is right regarding current sales pitches, but also wrong about the long term impact. There is nothing on the market today that would be anything but an incremental improvement in an already existing capability.
However
The thing everyone knows is coming is fully artificial boots-on-the-ground, and this will be a categorical revolution on par with the use of airplanes in warfare. (note: "boots" could still be drones).
Like the author points out "A battalion commander in the Ukrainian Army stated to me a few weeks ago that even in the Summer of 2025, the single most decisive factor in his unit’s ability to hold and take ground is the number of infantry".
The instant you have a factory that churns out the equivalent of a "dude with a rifle in a dugout", you've suddenly changed warfare in all the non-tactical ways the author was talking about.
The politics of war becomes different: your battlefield losses may no longer be measured in lives, no one comes home with PTSD, and no collateral damage is due to soldiers' malice.
The doctrines of war become different. Suicide charges/runbys are fine, there's no need to worry about PoWs, and friendly fire is potentially a thing of the past.
- tim333 1y agoUkraine has already done a robot assault, although remote controlled rather than AI https://interestingengineering.com/military/ukraine-robot-team-captured-russian-soldiers https://interestingengineering.com/military/ukraine-robot-te...
- AndrewDucker 1y ago"is coming" is a prediction so vague as to lack value. A robot that is able to engage in combat with humans, across random terrain, for long periods without recharging? Some day, sure. Not any time in the next five years, at the very least.
- bloaf 1y agoYou're not thinking like a salesman. The value of vague is that you can make your product sound like it is the fulfillment of that prediction in ways that you can't do if the prediction is too concrete. No one is quite sure what will constitute "sufficiently like a dude in a ditch with a rifle" to transform warfare, and that's precisely why the AI startups are flocking to defense spending like the seagulls to the dump.