His "I told you so" attitude only makes sense for people who believe what they saw on Twitter from people like Sam, who thrive on hype. For most people, it was

His "I told you so" attitude only makes sense for people who believe what they saw on Twitter from people like Sam, who thrive on hype. For most people, it was obvious that we were/are in the last part of the S curve on the LLMs' advancement and won't get us to AGI. The leap from 3.5 to 4 was amazing, but then everyone started catching up with OpenAI, which got diminishing returns on each new model. Expecting out of nowhere that OAI would improve its pacing from o1 -> o3 improvements to AGI doesn't make sense, no matter how Sam Altman hypes.