Year on year, progress is indeed a bit incremental. But seen over a five year period the progress is actually stupidly amazing. In practical terms, Gpt 5 is a

Year on year, progress is indeed a bit incremental. But seen over a five year period the progress is actually stupidly amazing. In practical terms, Gpt 5 is a nice upgrade over most other models. We'll no doubt get lots of subjective reports how it was wrong or right or worse than some other model for some chats. But my personal (subjective) experience so far is that it just made it possible for me to use codex on more serious projects. It still gets plenty of things wrong. But that's more because of a lack of context than hallucination issues. Context fixes are a lot easier than model improvements. But last week I didn't bother and now I'm getting decent results. I don't really care what version number they slap on things. That is indeed just marketing. And competition is quite fierce so I can understand why they are overselling what could have been just chat gpt 4.2 or whatever. Also discussions about AGI tend to bore me as they seem to escalate into low quality philosophical debates with lots of amateurs rehashing ancient argument poorly. There aren't a hell of a lot new arguments that people come up with at this point. IMHO we don't actually need an AGI to bootstrap the singularity. We just AIs to be good enough to come up with algorithmic optimizations, breakthroughs and improvements at a steady pace. We're getting quite close to that and I wouldn't be surprised to learn that OpenAI's people are already eating their own dogfood in liberal quantities. It's not necessary for AIs to be conscious in order to come up with the improvements that might eventually enable such a thing. I expect the singularity might be more of a phase than a moment. And if you know your boiling frog analogy, we might be smack down in the middle of that already and just not realize it. Five years ago, it was all very theoretical. And now I'm waiting for codex to wrap up a few pull requests that would have distracted me for a week each five years ago. It's taking too long and I'm procrastinating my gained productivity away on HN. But what else is new ;-).