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If you think it's wrong, participate. That's the only way prediction markets end up predicting anything.

• Tadpole9181 1y ago
  Ah, yes, if you disagree you must participate in real money gambling based on the outcome of a single user-based, single-prompt leaderboard.
  • vasco 1y ago
    Well I for example don't give a shit what prediction markets do and never participated, but if someone thinks they're wrong, they should just participate and get free money. Otherwise why complain.
    • apetresc 1y ago
      I wasn't complaining per-se, I was asking for (and expecting) a legitimate reason. Which I got: that the market is resolved purely based on LLM Arena which Anthropic has never done well on (which says more about the benchmark than about Anthropic).
      • vasco 1y ago
        You got a random person saying a random thing. There's no explanation for a market. The same way the stock market doesn't move for the reason the articles say it does. Everyone on each side has their own multitude of reasons.