3 ms·
It's a logical starting point, given there are pretty defined success/failure criteria
by bmau5 1y ago
It's a logical starting point, given there are pretty defined success/failure criteria
- ehutch79 1y agoThe hype is real. We were told that we'd have AGI and be out of jobs 2 years ago, let alone today.
- brookst 1y agoWe were also told that AGI would never happen, that it was 6 months away, that it is 20 years away. I’m not sure of the utility of being so outraged that some people made wrong predictions.
- rowanG077 1y agoBy whom? I don't think anyone seriously said in 2023 we have AGI in two years. Even now, no one reputable is claiming AGI in two years.
- ehutch79 1y agoRandom on YouTube, random here on hacker news. No, I don’t take them seriously, that was my point, which apparently I didn’t make clear enough.
- rowanG077 1y agoThe phrasing of your comment clearly implies an authoritive person or organisation telling us we would have AGI now. There are billions of people. You have people who think the earth is flat. You can probably find any insane takes if you look for it. Best not take get told anything by them as you have seemed to have taken it to heart.
- belter 1y ago> Even now, no one reputable is claiming AGI in two years. LOL...You really underestimate the intellectual dishonesty of these people...Its all about the greenback... AGI by 2025... Sam Altman - "AGI by 2025, potentially during Trump's term" - https://firstmovers.ai/agi-by-2025/ https://firstmovers.ai/agi-by-2025/ AGI by 2026... John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) - https://youtu.be/Wo95ob_s_NI?t=1040 https://youtu.be/Wo95ob_s_NI?t=1040 Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) - "AGI by 2026-2027 based on capability progression trends" - https://cointelegraph.com/news/human-level-ai-as-early-as-2026-anthropic-ceo https://cointelegraph.com/news/human-level-ai-as-early-as-20... AGI by 2027... Daniel Kokotajlo (Former OpenAI Researcher) - "Ex-OpenAI researcher predicts AGI by 2027" - https://www.theneuron.ai/explainer-articles/an-ex-openai-researcher-predicts-agi-by-2027--heres-the-wild-roadmap https://www.theneuron.ai/explainer-articles/an-ex-openai-res... Leopold Aschenbrenner (Former OpenAI Researcher) - AGI by 2027, superintelligence by 2028-2029 - https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/ai-timelines-and-national-security--the-obstacles-to-agi-by-2027 https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/ai-timelines-and-nation...