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Microsoft's multi-year Hololens project has failed. Now they are doubling down in a joint effort with Anduril: https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/1/24259369/micr

Microsoft's multi-year Hololens project has failed. Now they are doubling down in a joint effort with Anduril: https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/1/24259369/microsoft-hololens-2-discontinuation-support https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/1/24259369/microsoft-holole... I don't see Anduril producing anything like the B2 or the F22 or nuclear submarines, all of which are the really important technologies. Oculus VR isn't really successful, VR is shoehorned into Army applications "because high tech". Given that the army is unliklely to be deployed and soldiers probably hate the VR headsets this is just more waste.

ahmeneeroe-v2 1y ago
The pendulum of mil-tech has moved solidly to "many & cheap" and away from "few & expensive", so I personally hope that Anduril isn't stupid enough to produce "anything like the B2, etc" That said, they are definitely competing against nuclear subs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNCHZBJxsM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNCHZBJxsM
- bgwalter 1y ago
  I think many & cheap drones or whatever can be shot down with an increasing array of anti-drone technology (which is often a repackaging of the Oerlikon gun that was already used in the Gepard tank ages ago). In Israel things that got through from Iran were the ballistic missiles. If the drones turn into Skynet with hundreds of thousands of mini drones, we are doomed or probably new anti loitering drone treaties will emerge. Recall how nervous Russia already was about the claimed threat of stationing the Tomahawk missile in Ukraine. There is an advantage for having few and large things that each side can monitor. That's why nuclear bombers were supposed to be parked in the open for observation by the START treaty.
  - ahmeneeroe-v2 1y ago
    After Ukraine's successful drone strike on Russia's bombers, hardened hangars will be the norm, not "in the open for observation".
ecshafer 1y ago
The F22 was first flown in 97, it started development in the 80s. I don't think Lockheed or Boeing would be able to make another generational step like that. The F-35 went drastically over budget and schedule.

ahmeneeroe-v2 1y ago

The pendulum of mil-tech has moved solidly to "many & cheap" and away from "few & expensive", so I personally hope that Anduril isn't stupid enough to produce "anything like the B2, etc" That said, they are definitely competing against nuclear subs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNCHZBJxsM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNCHZBJxsM

bgwalter 1y ago
I think many & cheap drones or whatever can be shot down with an increasing array of anti-drone technology (which is often a repackaging of the Oerlikon gun that was already used in the Gepard tank ages ago). In Israel things that got through from Iran were the ballistic missiles. If the drones turn into Skynet with hundreds of thousands of mini drones, we are doomed or probably new anti loitering drone treaties will emerge. Recall how nervous Russia already was about the claimed threat of stationing the Tomahawk missile in Ukraine. There is an advantage for having few and large things that each side can monitor. That's why nuclear bombers were supposed to be parked in the open for observation by the START treaty.
- ahmeneeroe-v2 1y ago
  After Ukraine's successful drone strike on Russia's bombers, hardened hangars will be the norm, not "in the open for observation".

ecshafer 1y ago

The F22 was first flown in 97, it started development in the 80s. I don't think Lockheed or Boeing would be able to make another generational step like that. The F-35 went drastically over budget and schedule.