3 ms·
Why is 90% for each step such an insurmountable probability? Maybe it's completely unreasonable for you to assume the causation for each step isn't on the orde
by mattwilsonn888 1y ago
Why is 90% for each step such an insurmountable probability?
Maybe it's completely unreasonable for you to assume the causation for each step isn't on the order of 99%. Your argument is too abstract to be a relevant rebuttal.
- regnull 1y agoIt’s a generic argument that can be applied to a whole class of claims. I see smart people falling into this trap all the time. Someone is making a claim by presenting a series of steps that seem quite reasonable. You then are left in a position where you can either: a) accept the overall conclusion, or b) attack the individual reasoning steps. All I’m doing is pointing out a possibility that your reasoning steps can be entirely plausible while your conclusion is completely wrong.