I work with a fellow that raves about this guy and his "historical views on empires". I'm not convinced, history is written by the surviving victors and revise

I work with a fellow that raves about this guy and his "historical views on empires". I'm not convinced, history is written by the surviving victors and revised by those with a narrative. I'm a firm believer that the market is not logical predictable or rational, but it is game-able.