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The US Military is very aware of this. The Next generation fighters and bombers all have longer ranges and longer ranged missiles. The Air-force is working on b

by slyall 1y ago

The US Military is very aware of this. The Next generation fighters and bombers all have longer ranges and longer ranged missiles. The Air-force is working on building more runways and hardened hangers The Army and Marines are planning around having units on Islands that have to have their own anti-aircraft and anti-ship capability since they won't be able to rely on air or sea support.

Teever 1y ago
That's all moot if the industrial capacity to produces missiles doesn't match the Chinese capacity to produce ships. Recent wargames predict the US will exhaust regional supplies of antiship missiles within days to weeks and those missiles have a lead time of years to build and the US only has a capacity of a few dozen a year.
- 15155 1y ago
  > Recent wargames predict the US will exhaust regional supplies of antiship missiles within days to weeks and those missiles have a lead time of years to build and the US only has a capacity of a few dozen a year. We don't need to sink their warships, just their freighters leaving Brazil - which they cannot quickly replace. An immediate lack of calories will sort out any military problem out remotely. Sprinkle in ten thousand naval mines and things look very different.
  - Teever 1y ago
    China has been stockpiling commodities for a while[0] now in preparation for this kind of situation and that they are accelerating the rate at which they are stockpiling.[1] It is also important to note that China is not an Island like Britain or Australia and can secure food from other locations over land. This kind of thinking that military conflict with China would be trivial due to some simple ace in the hole like having many aircraft carriers or cutting off their food supply needs to stop. It is hopelessly naive and underplays the very real possibility of humiliating defeat in an impending conflict with China over Taiwan. [0]https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/23/why-is-xi-jinping-building-secret-commodity-stockpiles https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/23/w... [1] https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-plans-accelerate-annual-stockpiling-strategic-commodities-2025-03-05/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-plans-acce...

by slyall 1y ago

Teever 1y ago

That's all moot if the industrial capacity to produces missiles doesn't match the Chinese capacity to produce ships. Recent wargames predict the US will exhaust regional supplies of antiship missiles within days to weeks and those missiles have a lead time of years to build and the US only has a capacity of a few dozen a year.

15155 1y ago
> Recent wargames predict the US will exhaust regional supplies of antiship missiles within days to weeks and those missiles have a lead time of years to build and the US only has a capacity of a few dozen a year. We don't need to sink their warships, just their freighters leaving Brazil - which they cannot quickly replace. An immediate lack of calories will sort out any military problem out remotely. Sprinkle in ten thousand naval mines and things look very different.
- Teever 1y ago
  China has been stockpiling commodities for a while[0] now in preparation for this kind of situation and that they are accelerating the rate at which they are stockpiling.[1] It is also important to note that China is not an Island like Britain or Australia and can secure food from other locations over land. This kind of thinking that military conflict with China would be trivial due to some simple ace in the hole like having many aircraft carriers or cutting off their food supply needs to stop. It is hopelessly naive and underplays the very real possibility of humiliating defeat in an impending conflict with China over Taiwan. [0]https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/23/why-is-xi-jinping-building-secret-commodity-stockpiles https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/23/w... [1] https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-plans-accelerate-annual-stockpiling-strategic-commodities-2025-03-05/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-plans-acce...