4 ms·
I've never been able to get good extrapolations from trendlines. If you do, you must be very rich.
by nuancebydefault 1y ago
I've never been able to get good extrapolations from trendlines. If you do, you must be very rich.
- ninetyninenine 1y agoBro. https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/the-sp-500-index-out-performed-hedge-funds-over-the-last-10-years-and-it-wasnt-even-close/ https://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/the-sp-500-index-out-performe... You'd be a fucking idiot if you bet on zero or negative growth for the SP500 in the next decade. The market is utterly the perfect example of a predictable trendline. The key is that you need to look at it over the long term. Warren buffet called out every idiot investor because they all did short term bets based on short term gains and he said the way forward was long term investments. Now tell me. What does the long term trendline for the past decade say about machine learning? What does the short term LLM "training wall" say about it? Are you an idiot investor or are you not? Most investors are idiots.