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I'm interested other people's view on this, do you feel the shape of the curve is like this, like a hockey stick of capability over time? I just don't feel tha

I'm interested other people's view on this, do you feel the shape of the curve is like this, like a hockey stick of capability over time? I just don't feel that. Using all AI tool's to the hilt, the curve feels more like a tapering-off one to me. Once we've fully applied what's been invented, I think we'll be in exponential decay not growth, of its utility

ggm 1y ago
No. I think Zuck has reached his peter principle some time ago and is deep in Dunning Kruger territory: he isn't competent to speak about AGI or intelligence. So, "Zuck said" as an appeal to authority doesn't move me an inch. Meta can afford to (and will) blow wads of money on this, for little or no actual benefit. Remember, he was an expert about immersive goggle experience too. We're all living in Goggle world now, aren't we? You read this as an avatar, right?
antondd 1y ago
The curve has always been the bog standard S curve of technological development. In Paul Saffo’s words: “…we routinely overestimate short-term change and underestimate long-term change.”