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This analysis seems rooted in a misunderstanding of the law of large numbers. LLN only says that large samples converge to the observed distribution, it does n
by mike_d 1y ago
This analysis seems rooted in a misunderstanding of the law of large numbers.
LLN only says that large samples converge to the observed distribution, it does not guarantee that the samples reflect voter intent. If Elon has a few hundred million to throw at a campaign, he for sure has enough to hire a few statisticians.
- hannasanarion 1y agoLLN means that the mere fact that large samples converge is not a conspiracy. Election Truth Alliance's claim is essentially that 1000 coin flips should come up all heads just as often as 10 coin flips will come up all heads. The fact that large samples produce consistent results is not suspicious, it's a fundamental truth of sampling and the entire reason that we want to collect large samples.