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And then you have research that says they're both full of shit. The article is perhaps a bit shallow, but it's spiritually correct: there's a lot of uncertainty
by qsort 1y ago
And then you have research that says they're both full of shit. The article is perhaps a bit shallow, but it's spiritually correct: there's a lot of uncertainty and people who claim they figured it all out are mostly spewing nonsense.
- rapind 1y agoI mean it's working for me. It's definitely not living up to the hype IMO (market is way overvaluing), but I wouldn't want to work without it any more, which is actually saying a lot. This take is as a senior (greybeard) developer using paid claude-code in the terminal only (I use plain vim for my own code). I'm running my own business while wearing all of the hats, so I'm not as worried about becoming obsolete, but I also have zero motivation to get other businesses using it (I'm not invested into any AI companies)! To be honest, I could probably even be using it better, but I haven't spent much time yak shaving over my setup beyond zen mcp. That being said, I think anyone looking to invest into established AI companies right now is in for a rude awakening. I think it'll be a commodity / utility like cloud computing with tons of competition and not a ton of differentiating features. That's just my opinion though, and I could be horrendously wrong!
- qsort 1y agoI'm also seeing benefits, and I'm on pretty much the same stack as you. The METR paper I'm citing was misquoted a lot (N was small, and it wasn't a favorable setup for AI tools), but the most important finding was that it's very easy to fool ourselves about productivity benefits. Am I going to cancel my Anthropic subscription? Certainly not, but I'm not going to pretend like my setup is The One True Way. The plural of anecdote isn't data. Nobody has this figured out, nobody.