3 ms·

> This reads like every single self-help book ever. And every "business success" book ever. They're all just Survivor Bias. Have 1,024 people flip a coin 10 ti

• ipaddr 1y ago
  He/she probably has a technique. Life isn't a static probability chart. Coins have three sides in 3d space and will land on its side once in awhile. People learn how to toss a coin to get a certain result.
• _dain_ 1y ago
  the guy who flips the coin 100 times is more likely to get a long streak of heads >>> import random >>> ["H" if random.random() < 0.5 else "T" for _ in range(100)] ['H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'T', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H', 'H'] I count 9 at the end, not bad. flip it more times, that's the luck surface area
  • yen223 1y ago
    But look at all those tails! That person must be a failure at life and therefore justifies me never flipping any coin.
• syntaxbush 1y ago
  So there is nothing one can do to increase their odds of success? If there is, they can't write a book about it?