I was thinking this exact same thing last night. We don't actually need a winner, we need 2-3-4 big, mature commercial contenders for the state of the art stuf

I was thinking this exact same thing last night. We don't actually need a winner, we need 2-3-4 big, mature commercial contenders for the state of the art stuff, and 2-3-4 big, mature Open Source/open weights models that can be run on decent consumer hardware at near real-time speeds, and we're all set. Sure, there will probably be a long tail, but the average programmer probably won't care much about those, just like they don't care about Erlang, D, MoonScript, etc.