Not really true. Gemma from Google with quantized aware training does an amazing job. Under the hood, the way it works, is that when you have final probabiliti

Not really true. Gemma from Google with quantized aware training does an amazing job. Under the hood, the way it works, is that when you have final probabilities, it really doesn't matter if the most likely token is selected with 59% or 75% - in either case it gets selected. If the 59% case gets there with smaller amount of compute, and that holds across the board for the training set, the model will have similar performance. In theory, it should be possible to narrow down models even smaller to match the performance of big models, because I really doubt that you do need transformers for every single forward pass. There are probably plenty of shortcuts you can take in terms of compute for sets of tokens in the context. For example, coding structure is much more deterministic than natural text, so you probably don't need as much compute to generate accurate code. You do need a big model first to train a small model though. As for running huge models locally, its not enough to run them, you need good throughput as well. If you spend $2k on a graphics card, that is way more expensive than realistic usage with a paid API, and slower output as well.