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These sound very much in tone like the criticisms of Web 1.0 AI/LLMs are an infant technology, it’s at the beginning. It took many many years until people fig
by andrewstuart 1y ago
These sound very much in tone like the criticisms of Web 1.0
AI/LLMs are an infant technology, it’s at the beginning.
It took many many years until people figured out how to use the internet for more than just copying corporate brochures into HTML.
I put it to you that the truly valuable applications of AI/LLMs are yet to be invented and will be truly surprising when they come (which they must of course otherwise we’d invent them now).
Amdahl says we tend to overestimate the value of a new technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term. We’re in the overestimate phase right now.
So I’d say ignore the noise about AI/LLMs now - the deep innovations are coming.
- andrewstuart 1y agoActually Amara, not Amdahl I think.
- miltonlost 1y agoAI is not infant. LLMs? yes. But not AI as a whole. Conflating the two is part of the problem when deciding what is useful and profitable.
- andrewstuart 1y agoAI is to LLM what The Internet is to the World Wide Web
- FranzFerdiNaN 1y ago> It took many many years until people figured out how to use the internet for more than just copying corporate brochures into HTML. It was immediately clear for many people how it could be used to express themselves. It took a lot of years to figure out how to kill most of those parts and turn the remainder into a corporate hellscape thats barely more than corporate brochures.