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No, I’m assuming that they’ll want to get their hands on Taiwan with as little mess as possible and keep the assets intact if possible. If their only choice was
by 2muchcoffeeman 1y ago
No, I’m assuming that they’ll want to get their hands on Taiwan with as little mess as possible and keep the assets intact if possible. If their only choice was to start a global war, I don’t think they’ll do it regardless if they would win or not.
- Detrytus 1y agoWell, that assumption might be wrong as well... Yes, taking control of the TSMC fabs is the best possible outcome for China, but destroying them is also not so bad. It limits the supply of bleeding edge semiconductors to the Western world, giving Huawei and other Chinese companies more time to catch up.
- wiseowise 1y ago> giving Huawei and other Chinese companies more time to catch up. Nothing screams “favorable market conditions” like WW3 and sanctions rivaling Russia.
- impossiblefork 1y agoWW3 would not be sanctions rivaling those Russia are under. WW3 would be zero trade, submarines sinking the shipping etc. What Russia is under is just sanctions, not real war measures.
- rasz 1y agoExcept there wont be WW3 over Taiwan. TACO will simply proclaim its not his business.
- impossiblefork 1y agoMaybe. It would certainly be good for Intel if Taiwan's and South Korea's microchip manufacturing were destroyed. They'd have a near-total monopoly, like int the 90s. But it would be incredibly stupid strategically. I think only sensible path is to give Taiwan nuclear weapons. It removes all the dangers for ever.