Four things: do meaningful novel work, learn over the course of a long conversation without poisoning its context, handle lies and accidental untruths, and gene

Four things: do meaningful novel work, learn over the course of a long conversation without poisoning its context, handle lies and accidental untruths, and generally be able to onboard itself and begin doing useful work for a business given the same resources as a new hire. This isn't an exhaustive list, it's just intended to illustrate when I'd start seriously thinking AGI was possible with incremental improvements. I take AI seriously in the sense that it's useful, can solve problems, and represents a lot of value for a lot of businesses, but not in the sense that I think the current methods are headed for AGI without further breakthroughs. I'm also not an expert.