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Weather predictions are very different than economic predictions. Weather predictions are made and shared out only at the level of what will happen over the ne
by _heimdall 1y ago
Weather predictions are very different than economic predictions.
Weather predictions are made and shared out only at the level of what will happen over the next few days. Weather predictions aren't used to predict exactly why it rained, only that it did rain (though surely the why is used as feedback for modelling).
Economists take a different tact, they attempt to claim why GDP, CPI, wages, etc changed. With predictions they look much further out than weather and attempt to not only claim what economic indicators will do, they attempt to claim precisely why it will have happened.
- Workaccount2 1y agoI'm sorry but I think you have a lot of misguided confusion here. Climate modeling encompasses everything from the weather tomorrow to scientists telling us back in the 80's to cut CO2. Economics modeling is the same way. From how to price your lemonade at your kids stand to how to size government stimulus.
- _heimdall 1y agoI wasn't arguing anything about climate modelling, only weather predictions. Regardless, modelling can be interesting to use as an indicator for future research but modelling is never scientific, or more specifically its never scientific in a way that is in anyway meaningful in the real world. A model isn't testing against reality and only ever factors in the conditions someone though to include and deemed relevant, and those factors are only as useful as the person's ability to accurately code them in.