2 ms·
My desire to believe in the technology runs aground upon the Conjunction Fallacy. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy https://en.m.wikipedia.org
by brudgers 1y ago
My desire to believe in the technology runs aground upon the Conjunction Fallacy. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy
To build a commercially successful autonomous bulldozer requires building a commercially successful bulldozer. That’s hardware and hardware is hard. Probably harder than the autonomous part because bulldozers are a century past the proof-of-concept era.
My cynical take is this is financial engineering more than construction engineering. YMMV.
- xnx 1y ago> To build a commercially successful autonomous bulldozer requires building a commercially successful bulldozer. Wouldn't it only be necessary to put a "robot" in the driver's seat of any existing dozer?
- shorbaji 1y agoI wonder what fraction of the hardware goes into hosting the human operator and into ensuring their safety. How much hardware cam be optimized away when there is no longer a human operator?
- brudgers 1y agoVery little. All the reduction gears, tires, and hydraulics are the same. Basically you can get rid of the air conditioner and the seat. Most of the hazards related to heavy equipment involve hitting something outside the machine. Rolling is the major hazard to an operator and you still want to avoid that without one.
- kevinmpeterson 1y agoWaymo doesn't build cars
- poly2it 1y agoThey are also building a vehicle which doesn't have to adapt for a human, shifting the domain. Definitely not just complexity which is AND-able.