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Crime rose significantly in the US over ~2020-2022 or 2023. It was on a downward trend before 2020 and is on a downward trend since 2022/2023. But you can't i
by loeg 1y ago
Crime rose significantly in the US over ~2020-2022 or 2023. It was on a downward trend before 2020 and is on a downward trend since 2022/2023. But you can't ignore that period.
- ceejayoz 1y agoDid anything else happen around 2020 that might be a confounding variable? (We see similar crime trends in other countries without BLM/George Floyd/police reform movements during that time period.)
- mlinhares 1y agoIt is almost as if something world shattering had happened in between those years.
- loeg 1y agoI don't know what point you're trying to make. Yes, obviously it's covid-related. So what? It can't be ignored.
- ceejayoz 1y agoBut you can largely ignore it. It was a relatively short term small blip in a decades long trend in the right direction, with a clearly rare and unusual cause. Interesting to historians and public policy folks. Outside of that, the pearl clutching about it probably did more damage than the spike itself.
- loeg 1y agoI mean, the comment I'm replying to by mlinhares is explicitly claiming crime did not rise during ~that specific period in response to a comment by JumpCrisscross claiming it did during ~that specific period. mlinhares is just wrong here. I'm glad the broader trend is that crime is improving, but there was actually a blip upwards in ~covid times, and JumpCrisscross is correct that Dems in charge during that time were punished for it.