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This entire concept hinges on AI not getting better. If you believe AI is going continue to get better at the current ~5-10% a month range, then hand waiving ov
by strangescript 1y ago
This entire concept hinges on AI not getting better. If you believe AI is going continue to get better at the current ~5-10% a month range, then hand waiving over developer productivity today is about the same thing as writing an article about the internet being a fad in 1999.
- trashchomper 1y agoOn the flip side, why would I use AI today if it presents no immediate benefit. Why not wait 5 years and see if it becomes actually helpful.
- strangescript 1y agobetter yet, wait 10, let me know how it goes
- benrutter 1y agoIf they do improve at 5-10% a month then that'd definitely be true (tbh I'm not sure they are even improving at that rate now - 10% for a year would be 3x improvement with compounding). I guess the tricky bit is, nobody knows what the future looks like. "The internet is a fad" in 1999 hasn't aged well, but a lot of people touted 1960s AI, XML and 3d telivisions as things that'd be the tools in only a few years. We're all just guessing till then.