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Except that future AI has been predicted for a long time now. Are we really much closer to AGI than we were 10 years ago?
by insane_dreamer 1y ago
Except that future AI has been predicted for a long time now. Are we really much closer to AGI than we were 10 years ago?
- tim333 1y agoI'm kind of a believer in Kurzweil / Moore's law stuff that you can predict when it'll turn up by extrapolating hardware progress. That has always had the human level date around 2030.
- insane_dreamer 1y agoThat assumes you can estimate the hardware requirements needed for the creation of AGI.
- tim333 1y agoYeah. You can estimate roughly what you need for something functionally equivalent to a brain. It comes out around 100 TFLOPS give or take a couple of zeros so we kind of have that now which gives people five years to sort the algorithms if it's going to be 2030.