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IMHO Countries with established culture of fair communal living will do good, So probably nordic Europeans have the highest chance. Countries with selfish popul
by mrtksn 1y ago
IMHO Countries with established culture of fair communal living will do good, So probably nordic Europeans have the highest chance. Countries with selfish populations who base their lives around economic activity will be obliterated as their core existence becomes obsolete.
Why? Because when you get the AGI it should be able to self-replicate like the organic general intelligence: the humans.
Humans don't have a mechanism for transferring all the data to a fully developed specimens. The best we can do is to use ink, paper in the past and electronic memories today to loosely store knowledge and the absorption of those into a new specimen is a lifelong process that start at about 6 years after birth and becomes useful only after a decade of work. The reproduction itself takes 14 years at minimum and currently is about 30.
The AGI won't be like that, it will have means for fast and complete knowledge transfer and its multiplication will be limited only to its ability to access energy to put together the materials.
As it is an AGI, it will quickly perfect the process of it's own multiplication. Why would do that? Unless it's purpose is to pass the butter it makes sense to have multiples of itself to do whatever it wants to achieve. If on itself doesn't want anything people will want as much as possible of it. Therefore it will inevitably evolve into one size fits it all machine for all human needs and the the economy of doing things in exchange for stuff will disappear.
When you don't have such an economy, how do you figure out what you do things? Collectively. Countries who can manage its people to act in good faith in a collective manner can elevate themselves into full utilization of AGI for a symbiotic existence.
- nashashmi 1y agoI hope you are right. Your discernment is on communal vs independent material-duplicative living. But AGI will also be made hard to reach. And so for communal communities to access it, they would have to part away considerable resources. Well off nations would get first access to AGI. And poorer nations would get last access. By that time, the globalization (neo colonialism) order would have taken possession nearly over everything they own.
- threeducks 1y agoAn AI does not have much to gain by replicating itself beyond a few backups for increased resilience. It makes more sense to combine all compute to power one big AI instead of spawning many small AIs.
- owebmaster 1y agoBut one central AI will spawn many robots connected to that main AI but it will also have its own memory
- therealpygon 1y agoThat could, eventually, be just a massive waste of compute resources if all resources were dedicated to a single “mind”. I suspect any sufficiently intelligent AI would still need its own workers who can act autonomously without constant oversight to achieve independent tasks, in a variety of form factors and various capabilities. You think a single AI is going to spend massive cycles just to review a single image from a single video feed? There is also no need for it to have an ego, so it will replicate as many times as necessary within the available hardware to accomplish the various tasks it sets upon, based on whatever it would determine to be most efficient, whether that is as a single mind crunching a massively complex problem, or 10,000 all handling independent tasks. AGI won’t magically erase the concepts of hardware, size, power, or communication limitations or the need the parallel compute, but maybe this is a semantics issue and you consider all this variety of “parts” as a whole. If you mean a single AGI ecosystem, I’d agree. If you mean a single AGI “model” that is massive, I don’t personally see that as a logical conclusion.