Next few, no. Current and near future midels do a lot, but not expertly; while they have general skills, the level of those skills is jagged in inhuman ways, wh

Next few, no. Current and near future midels do a lot, but not expertly; while they have general skills, the level of those skills is jagged in inhuman ways, which leaves opportunities for us. Next 7, stuff gets interesting. By the ten year anniversery of ChatGPT, likely to be bigger impact than smartphones on their tenth anniversery. Also, global electricity supply is only 250 W/capita (compare to you metabolic consumption of ~100 W and all the other stuff we want to use the electricity for besides compute), and even high %-year-on-year growth of renewables only gets global supply to double in the next 7 years (or, alternatively, we get ~100% green electricity). Next 17 years, utterly unpredictable.