I'd be reluctant to place a bet just because Musk is aware of the market and has the ability to manipulate it. I'd want some kind of qualifier that the service

I'd be reluctant to place a bet just because Musk is aware of the market and has the ability to manipulate it. I'd want some kind of qualifier that the service has to last at least a month without being canceled or degraded below the point of the launch condition. Musk could rush something out and then be forced to pull it, and I wouldn't consider that making the deadline.