4 ms·
A lot of this is pretty intuitive but I’m glad to hear it from a prestigious researcher. It’s a little annoying to hear people quote Hinton’s opinion as the “go
by janalsncm 1y ago
A lot of this is pretty intuitive but I’m glad to hear it from a prestigious researcher. It’s a little annoying to hear people quote Hinton’s opinion as the “godfather” of AI as if there’s nothing more we need to know.
On a related note, I think there is a bit of nuance to superintelligence. The following are all notable landmarks on the climb to superintelligence:
1. At least as good as any human at a single cognitive task.
2. At least as good as any human on all cognitive tasks.
3. Better than any human on a single cognitive task.
4. Better than any individual human at all cognitive tasks.
5. Better than any group of humans at all cognitive tasks.
We are not yet at point 4 yet. But even after that point, a group of humans may still outperform the AI.
Why this matters is if part of the “group” is performing empirical experiments to conduct scientific research, an AI on its own won’t outperform your group unless the AI can also perform those experiments or find some way to avoid doing them. This is another way of restating the original Twitter post.
- solid_fuel 1y agoAre we even at point #3 for anything besides structured games like Go or Chess? Not that those tasks aren't valuable but there is a difference between a rigidly structured and scored task like Chess and something free-form like "fold this towel" or "write this program".
- janalsncm 1y agoThings like facial recognition come to mind. Also probably poker: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libratus https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libratus Diplomacy (game) was also pretty notable although best in the world is debatable https://ai.meta.com/research/cicero/diplomacy/ https://ai.meta.com/research/cicero/diplomacy/ Even before that, computers have been superhuman at arithmetic for a while. Point 3 is satisfied when a machine is better than any human at any cognitive task though.
- thrwaway55 1y agoAre we even at that in large problem space games like go? Alpha go lost to amateurs making a really big wall that took too many steps to calculate until it was hand patched by humans. Perfect Plagiarism is a hell of a handicap
- aaron695 1y ago[dead]