> Amodei argues the world is about to see the 21st century “compressed” into a few years as AI accelerates science drastically. I have the same thought but fro

> Amodei argues the world is about to see the 21st century “compressed” into a few years as AI accelerates science drastically. I have the same thought but from a more negative angle. A vast share of new information in the near future will be just a repeat of whatever data the LLMs were trained on. There is a tiny sliver of LLM usage that will not be a transformation of existing data (e.g. make me a chart of this data, write me an essay) but rather ”help me create a new tool that will solve a novel problem”. I believe that’s what the person interviewed is saying in their own words. It’s hard to imagine something other than a brute force hypothesis machine that starts brute forcing solutions, but it will not be as effective as we wish if we can’t figure out how to come up with hypothesis for everything. None of what I’m saying is that insightful and I’m sure people have thought of this already. I wonder if ever there will be a Hitchhiker’s style revelation that we have had all the answers for all of our problems already, but the main issue is just incentives. Curing most cancers is probably just a money question, as is solving climate change.