Yeah I think you're getting at what my skepticism stems from: The article with the 55% certain epistemic status and the article with the 95% certain epistemic s

Yeah I think you're getting at what my skepticism stems from: The article with the 55% certain epistemic status and the article with the 95% certain epistemic status are both written with equal persuasive oomph. In most writing, people write less persuasively on topics they have less conviction in.