Meanwhile, as that same US intel correctly called out that Russia was gearing up to invade, and plenty of other countries insisted that was needlessly provocati

Meanwhile, as that same US intel correctly called out that Russia was gearing up to invade, and plenty of other countries insisted that was needlessly provocative to claim and Russia would never. So maybe we shouldn't treat the US intel community as a monolith, or uniform in its competence. Meanwhile people in this comment section are talking about "They are always 2 years away" as if Israel hasn't been striking them and assassinating nuclear engineers that whole time. Usually that sets your project back a bit. They have multiple tons of sufficiently enriched Uranium. My understanding was that they were basically sitting "3 months" away from a bomb as a bargaining chip; They could clearly present they didn't have a bomb, but if they were attacked they could rush build a bomb as deterrence. We shall see I guess. Even adversary nations were straight up unprepared with the breakdown of American norms with this presidency though. I don't think Iran expected this situation.