13 ms·

I said that one hundred years from now humans would have likely gone the way of the horse. It will be a finished business, not a thing starting. We may take it

by dsign 1y ago

I said that one hundred years from now humans would have likely gone the way of the horse. It will be a finished business, not a thing starting. We may take it with some chill, depending on how we value our species and our descendants and the long human history and our legacy. It's a very individual thing. I'm not chill. There's no comparing the AI we have today with what we had 5 years ago. There's a huge qualitative difference: the AI we had five years ago was reliable but uncreative. The one we have now is quite a bit unreliable but creative at a level comparable with a person. To me, it's just a matter of time before we finish putting the two things together--and we have already started. Another AI winter of the sort we had before seems to me highly unlikely.

quonn 1y ago
I think you severely underestimate what the 8 billion human beings on this planet can and will do. They are not like horses at all. They will not allow themselves to be ruled by, like, 10 billionaires operating an AI and furthermore if all work vanishes then we will find other things to do. Just ask a beach bum or a monk or children in school or athletes or students or an artist or the filthy rich. There _are_ ways to spend your time. You can‘t just judge humans in terms of economic value given the fact that the economy is something that those humans made for themselves. It‘s not like there can be an „economy“ without humankind. The only problem is the current state where perhaps _some_ work disappears, creating serious problems for those holding those jobs. As for being creative, we had GPT2 more than 5 years ago and it did produce stories. And the current AI is nothing like a human being in terms of the quality of the output. Not even close. It‘s laughable and to me it seems like ChatGPT specifically is getting worse and worse and they put more and more lipstick on the pig by making it appear more submissive and producing more emojis.

by dsign 1y ago

quonn 1y ago

I think you severely underestimate what the 8 billion human beings on this planet can and will do. They are not like horses at all. They will not allow themselves to be ruled by, like, 10 billionaires operating an AI and furthermore if all work vanishes then we will find other things to do. Just ask a beach bum or a monk or children in school or athletes or students or an artist or the filthy rich. There _are_ ways to spend your time. You can‘t just judge humans in terms of economic value given the fact that the economy is something that those humans made for themselves. It‘s not like there can be an „economy“ without humankind. The only problem is the current state where perhaps _some_ work disappears, creating serious problems for those holding those jobs. As for being creative, we had GPT2 more than 5 years ago and it did produce stories. And the current AI is nothing like a human being in terms of the quality of the output. Not even close. It‘s laughable and to me it seems like ChatGPT specifically is getting worse and worse and they put more and more lipstick on the pig by making it appear more submissive and producing more emojis.