Marcus has made some good predictions and some bad ones. That’s usually the way with people who make specific predictions — there are no prophets. Not sure I’d

Marcus has made some good predictions and some bad ones. That’s usually the way with people who make specific predictions — there are no prophets. Not sure I’d agree that SA has been any more consistently right. You can easily find examples of overconfidence from him (though he rarely says anything specific enough to count as a prediction).