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This scenario might play out, but if it does, it will be a temporary phase. What will bring it to an end will be a panopticon: video surveillance everywhere, s

This scenario might play out, but if it does, it will be a temporary phase. What will bring it to an end will be a panopticon: video surveillance everywhere, stronger anti-encryption laws, AI monitoring the whole lot. I'm not an activist with an agenda here; it's just that there's an upper limit to how much drone terrorism a society will tolerate.

intended 1y ago
This is addressed in the article - its a core point. Everything you described is the friction which societies will endure to stop these threats. This friction will slow down our global economy, and break the world we have known entirely. Which is why the article ends on: > The future will be more like the past. > As the scale of effective communication, transportation, maintenance, and influence recedes, society will become more human and more personal, with weaker and multifarious institutions. > The collapsing institutional monopoly on violence will yield a renewal of local and personal violence, and a very messy working-out of a hierarchy suited to the new conditions. > Anyway, it’s a great time to make friends. I will say, that over time we have found ways to beat even the most distributed of systems. Napster and piracy come to mind.
- MichaelZuo 1y ago
  Why would it be distributed? Increasingly effective surveillance propels increasingly effective centralization throughout the entirety of human history.
logicchains 1y ago
>there's an upper limit to how much drone terrorism a society will tolerate. There's an upper limit to how much authoritarianism a society can tolerate. Automated weaponry becoming cheaper and cheaper as technology progresses will eventually lead to a wave of decentralisation in society, because offense is much cheaper than defense, so wannabe tyrants will have a harder and harder time maintaining their own safety.
- deleted 1y ago
  [deleted]
thrance 1y ago
Doubt that would help much, what may happen though is a ban an all drones. Firearms are banned in most of Europe and you don't see them that often.

intended 1y ago

This is addressed in the article - its a core point. Everything you described is the friction which societies will endure to stop these threats. This friction will slow down our global economy, and break the world we have known entirely. Which is why the article ends on: > The future will be more like the past. > As the scale of effective communication, transportation, maintenance, and influence recedes, society will become more human and more personal, with weaker and multifarious institutions. > The collapsing institutional monopoly on violence will yield a renewal of local and personal violence, and a very messy working-out of a hierarchy suited to the new conditions. > Anyway, it’s a great time to make friends. I will say, that over time we have found ways to beat even the most distributed of systems. Napster and piracy come to mind.

MichaelZuo 1y ago
Why would it be distributed? Increasingly effective surveillance propels increasingly effective centralization throughout the entirety of human history.

logicchains 1y ago

>there's an upper limit to how much drone terrorism a society will tolerate. There's an upper limit to how much authoritarianism a society can tolerate. Automated weaponry becoming cheaper and cheaper as technology progresses will eventually lead to a wave of decentralisation in society, because offense is much cheaper than defense, so wannabe tyrants will have a harder and harder time maintaining their own safety.

deleted 1y ago
[deleted]

thrance 1y ago

Doubt that would help much, what may happen though is a ban an all drones. Firearms are banned in most of Europe and you don't see them that often.