You might believe that but their past behaviour, plans and reasoning have all been unpredictable and ostensibly irrational so there's really no reason to believ

You might believe that but their past behaviour, plans and reasoning have all been unpredictable and ostensibly irrational so there's really no reason to believe this over anything else. The next person could say they believe he wants to enact martial law, and the next could say it wasn't even an expected outcome. In fact I bet there would be as many seemingly reasonable beliefs as there would be people willing to comment on it. The only thing for sure is that we don't know and anyone outside the administration claiming a level of certainty around it is doing nothing more than confabulating.